| 'New wave's coming' |
April 1999 - excerpt |
Ralph N. Elliot formulated Elliot Wave analysis during the 1930s. While Elliot was influenced by Dow Theory, his approach to the market focused not on chart patterns, but rather on cycles or 'waves.' Elliot believed that upward 'impulsive' market movements could be divided into individual five-wave sequences. According to Elliot, smaller, corrective waves followed a three-wave sequence. Furthermore, larger waves could be sub-divided into smaller waves that duplicated the five- and three-wave sequences. This is sometimes referred to as the 'fractal' nature of Elliot, where waves of different magnitude share the same underlying structure. Part of Elliot's theory grew from his belief that markets move according to the Fibonacci number series. These numbers occur frequently in nature, for example in a Nautilus shell or the center of a sunflower, and according to Elliot, in the behavior of the financial markets as well.
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